21
Sep
Summer drop in Mortgage lending
Mortgage lending fell by 13% in August on the previous month,
according to the Council of Mortgage Lenders(CML).
The CML said UK gross mortgage lending totalled about £12.6bn,
down from July's revised total of £14.5bn.
Mortgage lending, sales and house prices have all picked up this
year, although from a very low level.
And the Bank of England has warned that lenders are still cautious
about the sustainability of this apparent revival in the housing
market.
"There has been no increase in the proportion of lending accounted
for by mortgages with loan to value ratios (LTVs) of greater than
90%," said the Bank's latest "Trends in Lending" report.
"The major UK lenders remained cautious about prospects for house
prices and unemployment," it added.
But the Bank reported that lenders were now approving just over 80%
of new mortgage applications, up from 70% at the start of the
year.
'Stabilising'
The CML in its latest report said a seasonal fall in lending
activity in August "is to be expected" and underlying lending seems
"to have stabilised during the summer".
Gross lending in the month was still more than a third down on the
August 2008 figure of £19.9bn.
"The likelihood of a significant pick-up in lending remains weak,
but the prospects for wholesale funding markets are improving,"
said CML economist Paul Samter.
"This could result in a gradual easing in constraints on the supply
of funding over time.
"However, demand from consumers and a prudent approach to lending
criteria are likely to mean that the market remains subdued," he
added.
'False dawn'
The past few months have seen increasing evidence that the property
market has been recovering, albeit slowly, from the dramatic slump
it suffered in the aftermath of the credit crunch and international
banking crisis.
This week surveyors reported that house prices had started rising
for the first time in two years.
And the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) said that
first-time buyers had returned to the market.
The CML said the stronger lending for house purchases is being
balanced by lower levels of remortgaging.
This trend is unlikely to change for the rest of this year, it
said, with a revival in housing market activity counterbalanced by
continued "funding constraints" and a lack of ability or incentive
to remortgage.
Earlier this week, the Ernst & Young Item Club, an economic
forecasting group, argued that the revival in mortgage lending had
been largely due to parents lending money to their children for
house purchase.
It warned that revived property values were a "false dawn" and
would not return to their 2007 peak for at least another five
years.
"The underlying problems stifling activity in the property market
remain the same - buyers are still having to find large deposits
and lenders are being very selective with regards to those who are
in a position to buy," said Brian Murphy, of mortgage brokers the
Mortgage Advice Bureau.